选举日已至，而传统投资者似乎早在选民投票之前就开始寻求降低风险。周一，美国比特币交易所交易基金（ETF）遭遇巨额资金流出，投资产品撤资达5.41亿美元。

根据CoinGlass数据，这次与选举相关的资金流出量几乎是比特币ETF创立以来最大的一次，仅次于5月1日比特币价格大幅下滑时的5.637亿美元流出量。

周一，仅有贝莱德（BlackRock）旗下的iShares 比特币 Trust（IBIT）基金资金流入，吸金3840万美元，而其他所有基金要么按兵不动，要么遭遇大量资金流出。

值得注意的是，Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund（FBTC）撤资1.383亿美元，而ARK 21Shares Bitcoin ETF（ARKB）和Bitwise Bitcoin ETF（BITB）则分别流失了1.383亿美元和7990万美元。

Bitcoin
BTC
+0.89%$106,231.25
24H7D1M1YMAX
Created with Highcharts 10.3.312:00PM2:00PM4:00PM6:00PM8:00PM10:00PMMay 212:00AM4:00AM6:00AM8:00AM$104000$105000$106000$107000$108000$109000
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相比之下，在经历连续七天的资金流入后，周五美国比特币ETF的资金流出量仅为5490万美元。

这很可能是受定于周二举行的美国总统大选的影响。

Kalshi's election odds displayed in Times Square in New York City in October 2024. Photo: Shutterstock

Crypto's Defining Moments in the Lead Up to the US Election

Although Bitcoin won't be on the ballot this Election Day, it's hard to deny digital assets’ grip on U.S. politics this election cycle.   From U.S. congressmen's public powwows with crypto industry leaders to Trump's DeFi project launch to both presidential candidates’ promises to support new regulations for the digital assets industry, crypto has dominated mainstream media headlines and echoed across social media platforms.    Here's a roundup of the crypto industry's most significant milestone...

唐纳德·特朗普因其对比特币及整个加密货币领域的高调支持而长期被视为“加密候选人”。因此，摩根大通预测，如果共和党赢得大选，比特币将上涨。

伯恩斯坦最近的一份报告声称，如果特朗普赢得选举，比特币将在未来几周内涨至9万美元。然而，如果哈里斯获胜，比特币将跌至仅5万美元。

这一预测是基于卡马拉·哈里斯对加密货币相对软弱的立场，她主要表示将鼓励区块链创新，并监管技术以保护黑人男性。这让交易员相信，与特朗普相比，她对比特币来说是一个更差的选择。

不过，VanEck分析师推测，哈里斯担任总统可能会削弱美元，并推动比特币的采用——这对领先加密货币的价格来说将是利好。

Source: Shutterstock

Where Do Kamala Harris and Donald Trump Stand on Crypto?

Neary 65 million Americans have already cast their votes ahead of next week’s election—and the race between the two candidates is tightening up. Cryptocurrency has been a significant issue in the presidential race, with former president and Republican nominee Donald Trump pivoting from a skeptic to a self-proclaimed crypto candidate, while current Vice President Kamala Harris—who took over for President Joe Biden as the Democrats' pick in July—has signaled an intent to break from the anti-crypto...

新闻Law and Order
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Mat Di Salvo

我们也看到比特币价格的不确定性，过去一周下跌了3.4%，而以太的跌幅更大，达到了7.3%。

在撰写本文时，预测市场Polymarket认为特朗普有62%的胜率，而哈里斯的胜率为38%。

然而，这与资深民意调查员Ann Selzer在爱荷华州进行的一项重要民意调查结果相矛盾，该调查结果显示哈里斯以三个百分点的优势领先于特朗普。如果这一结果准确，对共和党来说将是灾难性的。随着这一消息的传出，Polymarket的赔率急剧缩小，比特币价格下跌，24小时内加密货币的总清算额达到3.15亿美元。

由Stacy Elliott编辑。

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