### **Market Dates:**

- **Market Period**: From the publication date through March 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC.
- **Market Close:** March 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC.
- **Resolution Deadline:** The resolution will be determined after Market Close, or earlier if the outcome is reached.

### **Resolution Criteria:**

- Resolves to "**Yes**" if Ali Khamenei, Iran’s Supreme leader, is removed from power within the Market Period.
- Resolves to “**No**” if he stays in power throughout the entire Market Period.

### **Resolution Details:**

- The market will be resolved primarily based on reports from [Reuters](https://www.reuters.com/), [Associated Press](https://apnews.com/) and the [BBC](https://www.bbc.com/). Other reputable media reports as long as verifiably credible may be used as supplementary resolution sources if necessary.
- Khamenei will be considered removed from power if he steps down, is arrested or detained, is officially replaced, or is otherwise unable to perform the duties of the Supreme Leader of Iran.

### **Cancellation Conditions:**

- The resolution sources are unavailable or compromised.
- Extraordinary circumstances prevent reliable determination of the outcome.

In the event of cancellation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancellation. This could result in a profit or a loss, depending on the price of their outstanding shares.

Reuters

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran before April? 

Bridged USDC (Stargate)

Myriad SZN 2 Contest - USDC v3.3

### Market Dates:

- **Market Period:** From the market’s publication date to June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC.
- **Market Close:** June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC.
- **Resolution Time:** June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC.

### **Yes/No Criteria:**

- Resolves to “Yes” if during the Market Period, the People’s Republic of China (PRC) commences a military offensive intended to gain control over territory administered by the Republic of China (Taiwan) — including the main island of Taiwan or any inhabited outlying islands — in a manner consistent with a military invasion or assault.
  - “*Commences a military offensive*” refers to the initiation of coordinated armed force with the demonstrable intent to seize, occupy, or control territory, and does not include military exercises, airspace incursions, naval patrols, cyber operations, or other grey-zone activities that do not involve territorial seizure.
- Resolves to “No” if this does not occur during the Market Period.

### **Resolution Sources:**

- Primary resolution sources include official statements or confirmations from:
  - **People’s Republic of China (State Council / Ministry of National Defense):** <https://english.www.gov.cn/>
  - **Taiwan – Ministry of National Defense:** <https://www.mnd.gov.tw/en>
  - **United Nations (official statements, Security Council briefings):** <https://main.un.org/securitycouncil/en>
- Secondary confirmation may come from consensus reporting by major international news organizations, including:
  - **Reuters:** <https://www.reuters.com/>
  - **Associated Press:** <https://apnews.com/>
  - **BBC News:** <https://www.bbc.com/news>
- Only reporting that clearly establishes both timing and territorial intent will be considered valid for resolution — specifically, the timing must confirm that the event occurred during the Market Period.

### **Cancellation Conditions:**

- All listed resolution sources become unavailable or unreliable.
- Any situation arises that makes it impossible to conclusively determine whether a qualifying military offensive occurred by the Resolution Time.

If the market is cancelled, participants may reclaim their positions at the market value of their shares at the time of cancellation.

People’s Republic of China

Will China invade Taiwan before July?

**Market Details:**

- **Market Close:** This market will only be closed once a resolution is achieved.
- **Resolution Deadline:** The resolution will be determined as soon as an outcome is reached.
- **Pump Target:** $100,000.00
- **Dump Target**: $69,000.00

**Resolution Criteria:**

- The market resolves based on which condition is met first:
  - **“$100K”** if the BTC/USDT price on Binance reaches or exceeds the Pump Target.
  - **“$69K”** if the BTC/USDT on Binance drops to equal or below the Dump Target.

**Resolution Details:**

The market resolves based on the Binance BTC/USDT spot price, using the 1-minute chart with the following specifications:

- 1-minute timeframe ("1m").
- Trading View.
- "Close" price of each candle.

Only the price of BTC/USDT as quoted by Binance (spot market) will be considered.

**Cancellation (Invalidity) Conditions:**

- The BTC/USDT spot market on Binance is suspended or becomes unreliable.
- The Binance platform is unavailable or experiences significant disruptions.
- Any circumstance prevents reliable price tracking.
- Myriad Markets undergoes a change in its contract that demands a cancellation of all active markets, or a similar significant technical change.

In the event of cancellation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancellation. This could result in a profit or a loss, depending on the price of their outstanding shares.

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