Bitcoin Price May Reach $146,000 Over Long Term, Says JP Morgan

It’s possible that Bitcoin’s price could go up to $146,000 or higher in the long term—but it’s unlikely to happen this year, JP Morgan Chase & Co quantitative strategist Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou wrote in a recent note, according to Bloomberg.

“A crowding out of gold as an ‘alternative’ currency implies big upside for Bitcoin over the long term,” he said in the note, but “a convergence in volatilities between Bitcoin and gold is unlikely to happen quickly and is in our mind a multiyear process. This implies that the above-$146,000 theoretical Bitcoin price target should be considered as a long-term target, and thus an unsustainable price target for this year.”

Per the letter, Bitcoin will have to reach $146,000 to match the levels of private investments in gold—via various exchange-traded funds or bars and coins. But the crypto’s volatility can play a major role in this process.

“The valuation and position backdrop has become a lot more challenging for Bitcoin at the beginning of the New Year,” said the letter. “While we cannot exclude the possibility that the current speculative mania will propagate further pushing the Bitcoin price up toward the consensus region of between $50,000-$100,000, we believe that such price levels would prove unsustainable.”

As Decrypt reported, JPMorgan’s strategists have previously predicted that Bitcoin will hurt gold’s value in the coming years.

JPMorgan Chase: Bitcoin Will Chip Away at Gold’s Value for Years to Come

JPMorgan Chase & Co strategists said that recent influxes of institutional investors into the crypto sphere may signify that big money is slowly but surely moving into Bitcoin—and out of gold—Bloomberg reported today. “The adoption of bitcoin by institutional investors has only begun, while for gold its adoption by institutional investors is very advanced,” said JPMorgan quantitative strategist Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou. The bank expects to see some big changes in institutional investors’ prefere...

“The adoption of Bitcoin by institutional investors has only begun, while for gold its adoption by institutional investors is very advanced,” Panigirtzoglou said at the time.

This is mainly because institutions are showing more and more interest in Bitcoin instead of gold, he added, and the bank expects this process to continue.

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For example, the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust increased by $2 billion between October and early December. At the same time, while gold-backed, exchange-traded funds saw an outflow of $7 billion during the same time period, JPMorgan’s data showed.

And judging by Bitcoin’s latest tendency to constantly renew its all-time highs, institutional investors are likely to stay.